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July 26, 2017
In subdued overnight ranges (excluding commodities), US treasury yields are in the red while the big dollar is moderately strong ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC where rates are widely expected to remain unchanged. With inflation continuing to surprise on the downside, we listen closely to any rhetoric that suggest common factors are the cause or rather no rhetoric alluding to temporary factors. Market expectations for Fed hikes have certainly dampened (50% priced in for a Dec hike) and if the Fed isn’t convincing, the risk of continued dollar weakness is material.

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